Friday, December 24, 2010

10/19 Black Monday +23 Years...

Written on October 19, 2010

19-OCT-1987

Few days bring back memories like today. I was 26 years old, a new trader and I knew everything. 16-OCT I had gotten out of stocks and directed everyone I knew out of the market on 16-OCT as I smelled a rat.

Fortunately my primary responsibility at that time was trading bonds and I had recently studied the 1929-1932 stock market. I bought my limit of Treasuries and they went up points. I went to my bank withdrew my savings and stuck it under my stairs...true story. Stocks were able to be bought some at 35-60% less within weeks. That taints a guy. It did me.

This is a poem that Art Cashin wrote about the day the DJIA lost 22% in one day.

Enjoy,

Leon

The Insurer

Once upon a Monday dreary

Traders waited worn and weary

As they gazed upon newstickers

warning of the day in store

Foreign markets were imploding

sending senses of foreboding

With positions overloading

sellers would be bringing more

To dump upon a bloody floor

October now had past its middle

as investors faced this riddle

With their Quotrons they would fiddle

looking for The Bull of yore

Greenback's value falling quickly

trade deficit behaving sickly

And with Iran, relations prickly

raised the specter of a war

Ahead a day that promised gore

So on the open there came selling

much faster than the tape was telling

While in Chicago they were yelling

"Dynamic hedging" is no more!

Specialists were inundated

as futures prices unrelated

Kept the selling unabated

stocks once eight now sell at four

Futures dipped below the cash now

and insurers made a dash now

Trying not to be the last now

rushing for the exit door

Then news reporters often shrewder

began misquoting Chairman Ruder

A trading halt?...a new intruder

caused yet more panic on the floor

Bethesda had a guest named Nancy

ban operation somewhat chancy

Helped to make the markets antsy

adding to our selling lore

Throughout the day as prices melted

brokers, dealers all got pelted

And bank accounts not safety-belted

were blown away forever more

The bell, it rang to end the sorrow

while traders ran to banks to borrow

To have an ante for tomorrow

not knowing what it held in store

Twenty three years…now since that day *

yet there was a scare last May

Reminding in a flashy way

of when fear and panic swept the floor

The Dow stands full six times higher *

than when it closed that day so dire

Despite two wars and terror fire

the Bull arose to run some more

This anniversary, headlines all *

dwell upon that fateful fall

And ask us veterans to recall

a time that left us scared & sore

New chills we get from déjà vu *

as currencies now run askew

And trading partners threaten too

as in that sad October yore.

But keep your faith that it's a new day *

though there are hints that skies may turn gray

We’ll hope such clouds won't bring a blue day

let's hope the Bull returns once more!!

Art Cashin UBS, 1987

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